Filed under: Packers, NFL Analysis
Aaron Rodgers is clearly the hottest quarterback left in the playoffs. His 31-for-36, 366-yard, three-touchdown dissection of the Falcons' defense was nearly perfect. Rodgers' 136.8 quarterback rating against the Falcons is the 10th best in the playoffs since 2000. And as you've likely heard all week, Rodgers' outstanding play is what makes the Packers the Vegas favorite to win the Super Bowl. It's easy to get fixated on Rodgers' outstanding game and conclude that he's just as likely to carve up the Bears, but looking at recent playoff history tells a different story.
In looking back over the past 10 years, 13 quarterbacks have posted a 130-plus quarterback rating with 20 or more attempts in a playoff game. The names are just as illustrious as you would expect: Peyton Manning (three times), Kurt Warner (twice), Tom Brady (twice) and Brett Favre (twice) are the only quarterbacks to post more than one 130-plus playoff game over the past decade.
As you would expect, those teams were 13-0 in those games -- it's hard to lose if your quarterback is nearly flawless. But the hot hand didn't usually carry over until the next week. Those same quarterbacks went 3-9 the following week. And in many cases, it was their poor play that was at least in part to blame.
Source: http://nfl.fanhouse.com/2011/01/21/aaron-rodgers-great-game-against-falcons-means-little-this-week/
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